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Adoption dynamics of increasing-return technologies in systemic contexts

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Adoption dynamics of increasing-return technologies in systemic contexts. / Mäkinen, Saku; Kanniainen, Juho; Dedehayir, Ozgur.

In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 80, No. 6, 2013, p. 1140-1146.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

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Mäkinen, S, Kanniainen, J & Dedehayir, O 2013, 'Adoption dynamics of increasing-return technologies in systemic contexts', Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 80, no. 6, pp. 1140-1146. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2012.04.004

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Mäkinen, Saku ; Kanniainen, Juho ; Dedehayir, Ozgur. / Adoption dynamics of increasing-return technologies in systemic contexts. In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2013 ; Vol. 80, No. 6. pp. 1140-1146.

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@article{afa6dba4179940f483cb0672f1480c5c,
title = "Adoption dynamics of increasing-return technologies in systemic contexts",
abstract = "Many systemic, complex technologies have been suggested to exhibit increasing returns to adoption, whereby the initial increase in adoption leads to increasing experience with the technology, which drives technological improvements and use, subsequently leading to further adoption. In addition, in the systemic context, mimetic behavior may lend support to increasing returns as technology adoption is witnessed among other agents in the systemic context. Finally, inter‐dependencies in the systemic context also sensitize the adoption behavior to fundamental changes in technology provisioning, and this may lend support for the increasing returns type of dynamics in adoption. Our empirical study examines the dynamics of organizational technology adoption when technology is provisioned by organizations in another sub‐system in a systemic context. We hypothesize that innovation, imitation, and technological change effects are present in creating increasing returns in the systemic context. Our empirical setting considers 24 technologies represented by 2282 data points in the computer industry. Our results provide support for our prediction that imitation effects are present in creating increasing returns to adoption. We further discuss the managerial and research implications of our results.",
author = "Saku M{\"a}kinen and Juho Kanniainen and Ozgur Dedehayir",
note = "Contribution: organisation=tta,FACT1=1<br/>Portfolio EDEND: 2013-02-27<br/>Publisher name: Elsevier",
year = "2013",
doi = "10.1016/j.techfore.2012.04.004",
language = "English",
volume = "80",
pages = "1140--1146",
journal = "Technological Forecasting and Social Change",
issn = "0040-1625",
publisher = "Elsevier",
number = "6",

}

RIS (suitable for import to EndNote) - Download

TY - JOUR

T1 - Adoption dynamics of increasing-return technologies in systemic contexts

AU - Mäkinen, Saku

AU - Kanniainen, Juho

AU - Dedehayir, Ozgur

N1 - Contribution: organisation=tta,FACT1=1<br/>Portfolio EDEND: 2013-02-27<br/>Publisher name: Elsevier

PY - 2013

Y1 - 2013

N2 - Many systemic, complex technologies have been suggested to exhibit increasing returns to adoption, whereby the initial increase in adoption leads to increasing experience with the technology, which drives technological improvements and use, subsequently leading to further adoption. In addition, in the systemic context, mimetic behavior may lend support to increasing returns as technology adoption is witnessed among other agents in the systemic context. Finally, inter‐dependencies in the systemic context also sensitize the adoption behavior to fundamental changes in technology provisioning, and this may lend support for the increasing returns type of dynamics in adoption. Our empirical study examines the dynamics of organizational technology adoption when technology is provisioned by organizations in another sub‐system in a systemic context. We hypothesize that innovation, imitation, and technological change effects are present in creating increasing returns in the systemic context. Our empirical setting considers 24 technologies represented by 2282 data points in the computer industry. Our results provide support for our prediction that imitation effects are present in creating increasing returns to adoption. We further discuss the managerial and research implications of our results.

AB - Many systemic, complex technologies have been suggested to exhibit increasing returns to adoption, whereby the initial increase in adoption leads to increasing experience with the technology, which drives technological improvements and use, subsequently leading to further adoption. In addition, in the systemic context, mimetic behavior may lend support to increasing returns as technology adoption is witnessed among other agents in the systemic context. Finally, inter‐dependencies in the systemic context also sensitize the adoption behavior to fundamental changes in technology provisioning, and this may lend support for the increasing returns type of dynamics in adoption. Our empirical study examines the dynamics of organizational technology adoption when technology is provisioned by organizations in another sub‐system in a systemic context. We hypothesize that innovation, imitation, and technological change effects are present in creating increasing returns in the systemic context. Our empirical setting considers 24 technologies represented by 2282 data points in the computer industry. Our results provide support for our prediction that imitation effects are present in creating increasing returns to adoption. We further discuss the managerial and research implications of our results.

U2 - 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.04.004

DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.04.004

M3 - Article

VL - 80

SP - 1140

EP - 1146

JO - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

SN - 0040-1625

IS - 6

ER -