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Risk Assessment of Major Storm Situation in Distribution System

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionScientificpeer-review


Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2015 50th International Universities Power Engineering Conference (UPEC)
ISBN (Print)978-1-4673-9682-0
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sep 2015
Publication typeA4 Article in a conference publication
EventInternational Universities Power Engineering Conference -
Duration: 1 Jan 1900 → …


ConferenceInternational Universities Power Engineering Conference
Period1/01/00 → …


Risk and reliability have a significant connection in meaning; both of them are the facts for one inference. High level of risk is resource of lower reliability. Risk management in power system has a variety of different subjects including models, methods and applications. Risk is a mixture of probability of disturbance event and the negative effect of that occurrence. Usually it counted for random accident which has harmful effect on people’s life and environment. In this paper risks study of storm situation modelled. Random failures in power
system are the origin of risk and cannot control by staff. Monte-Carlo Simulation (MCS) has used to model the fault frequencies and outage time of customers. The two tools which use in financial studies to make investment decision and applicable in power systems are Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) Result of study compared to the actual reliability which confirm the
improvement in the reliability of system. It is not possible to predict the precise amount of load value, Concerns of power outage in local area and possibility
of a general blackout.

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